PolyBot

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Traders

coolnickname

0x701b4238714edd3d3ad2054a5dd9a5931d24bb1b

Realised P&L
$-160.10
Volume
$10.7k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$3.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? · Yes0.0700.035$3.50$3.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Up0.2400.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00$0.61
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$2.50
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$10.12
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance · Egypt0.0300.000$0.00$3.00
Claude 4.8 released by July 31? · No0.0640.000$0.00$11.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 21:00US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?BUY0.07$7.00
07-07 17:58Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceBUY0.03$3.00
07-07 17:58Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?SELL0.892$35.68
07-07 17:48Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.32$12.80
06-15 04:38Israel closes its airspace by June 15?SELL0.007$1.12
06-14 18:05Israel closes its airspace by June 15?BUY0.13$1.30
06-12 14:34Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETSELL0.1$4.11
06-12 14:34Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETSELL0.16$1.43
06-12 14:33Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETSELL0.15$7.50
06-12 14:24Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSELL0.11$5.50
06-12 14:19Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETSELL0.069384$3.47
06-12 10:11Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETSELL0.06$1.20
06-12 10:08Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETSELL0.16$3.20
06-11 21:13Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETSELL0.04$0.80
06-11 21:08Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETSELL0.09$1.80