coolnickname
0x701b4238714edd3d3ad2054a5dd9a5931d24bb1b
- Realised P&L
- $-160.10
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $3.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.035 | $3.50 | −$3.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Up | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Down | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.61 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.12 |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance · Egypt | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Claude 4.8 released by July 31? · No | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.30at 0.057Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$25.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
- +$25.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
- +$25.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
- +$25.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 21:00 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 07-07 17:58 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 07-07 17:58 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.892 | $35.68 |
| 07-07 17:48 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.32 | $12.80 |
| 06-15 04:38 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.12 |
| 06-14 18:05 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 06-12 14:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $4.11 |
| 06-12 14:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | SELL | 0.16 | $1.43 |
| 06-12 14:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | SELL | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 06-12 14:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | SELL | 0.11 | $5.50 |
| 06-12 14:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | SELL | 0.069384 | $3.47 |
| 06-12 10:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 06-12 10:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 06-11 21:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 06-11 21:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |