Katinsonan
0x6f168066bf5cce176c09a26601e3271ec844da10
- Realised P&L
- $-5.4k
- Volume
- $59.6k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $859.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 5? · Yes | 0.645 | 0.840 | $849.23 | +$196.83 |
| Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$350.00 |
| Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France? · Yes | 0.494 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$263.15 |
| Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$249.85 |
| Will there be no new Prime Minister of France? · Yes | 0.764 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$600.00 |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters Men’s Singles Tournament? · Yes | 0.645 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.9k |
| Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-2.5) · Lions | 0.507 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$900.00at 0.280Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech
- +$621.33at 0.304Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$376.60at 0.515Will Bitcoin dip to $116,000 October 6-12?
- +$369.86at 0.730Will Bitcoin dip to $118,000 October 6-12?
- +$48.55at 0.480Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 18:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.6453114274 | $652.40 |
| 08-05 17:48 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.743540457 | $1.1k |
| 04-10 18:29 | Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.01 | $27.78 |
| 04-09 18:19 | Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.012288528 | $61.44 |
| 04-08 18:53 | Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.0449999997 | $125.00 |
| 04-08 18:53 | Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.032 | $100.00 |
| 04-08 18:48 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.304 | $429.73 |
| 04-08 18:45 | Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.025979215 | $249.85 |
| 04-08 18:45 | Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.07 | $350.00 |
| 04-08 18:44 | Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.0815364897 | $350.00 |
| 04-08 18:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | SELL | 0.83 | $115.14 |
| 04-04 13:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | BUY | 0.4799999986 | $65.17 |
| 10-14 13:26 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 MLB World Series? | BUY | 0.5199999952 | $35.00 |
| 10-12 21:04 | Spread: Chiefs (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4899999998 | $1.4k |
| 10-10 20:42 | Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters Men’s Singles Tournament? | BUY | 0.6289157953 | $342.82 |