PolyBot

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Traders

flea65

0x6e611d50931a58e2329b012c2237825ce757abf1

Realised P&L
$2.44
Volume
$7.4k
Markets traded
106
Open portfolio
$3.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded106
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3600.335$1.86$0.14
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-08-06? · Yes0.2100.175$1.67$0.33
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$2.50
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.75
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$2.80
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark? · No0.2500.000$0.00$1.25
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$2.00
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$2.00
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$4.00
Will Bahrain send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$1.00
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$2.00
Will Danish Social Liberal Party be part of the next Government of Denmark? · No0.1600.000$0.00$1.60
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$1.00
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$2.10
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 16:07Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
07-06 20:30Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6199999297$3.00
07-04 15:44Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5399999784$2.00
07-04 15:44Will England win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.4$2.00
07-01 18:26Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3599999208$2.00
07-01 16:10Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.5699999555$5.00
06-28 15:18Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.25$1.00
06-25 16:32Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1389999723$5.00
06-25 16:31Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5299998781$2.00
06-25 16:30Will United States win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.5299998781$2.00
06-15 18:02Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.16$1.00
06-15 18:01Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6899999425$3.00
06-15 18:01Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6699998437$3.00
06-06 12:54Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7399999593$4.00
06-06 12:53Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6599998944$2.00