Waldie
0x6e36afd280ab1491e3ff0af0c8a444163b4dfcee
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $27.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $1.3k | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.999 | $820.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 5? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $466.47 | +$0.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.03at 0.987Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30?
- +$3.65at 0.985Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30?
- +$0.53at 0.999Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
- +$0.53at 0.999Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?
- +$0.41at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 07:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.3k |
| 08-05 07:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $820.00 |
| 08-05 07:45 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.9989999989 | $466.00 |
| 07-30 09:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 30? | BUY | 0.9989999985 | $407.00 |
| 07-30 09:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.985 | $240.00 |
| 07-30 09:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.9873730964 | $315.00 |
| 03-19 14:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $117.14 |
| 03-19 14:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.98 |
| 03-19 14:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.96 |
| 03-19 13:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $48.95 |
| 03-19 13:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $67.93 |
| 03-19 13:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.95 |
| 03-19 12:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $143.86 |
| 03-19 12:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $43.96 |
| 01-22 17:28 | Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $90.64 |