0x6d94026c707e1e59530c8c97ef899c830f714766
- Realised P&L
- $41.00
- Volume
- $505.27
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $197.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · San Diego Padres | 0.000 | 0.535 | $197.99 | +$197.99 |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky · Chicago Sky | 0.375 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.98 |
| Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Olaf Pieczkowski · Olaf Pieczkowski | 0.336 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.52 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.86 |
| The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Maya Joint · Maya Joint | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.24at 0.580Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels
- +$27.33at 0.590Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$4.85at 0.670Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics
- +$-2.15at 0.510Warsaw: Jeline Vandromme vs Vendula Valdmannova
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:35 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Olaf Pieczkowski | BUY | 0.3499999916 | $14.65 |
| 08-04 14:34 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Olaf Pieczkowski | BUY | 0.299999963 | $4.87 |
| 08-04 03:07 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky | BUY | 0.3752985425 | $7.98 |
| 08-03 10:29 | Warsaw: Jeline Vandromme vs Vendula Valdmannova | BUY | 0.5099999983 | $109.57 |
| 08-01 23:07 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.5799999925 | $66.62 |
| 08-01 03:48 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.73 | $4.86 |
| 07-30 23:10 | Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.5899999961 | $39.33 |
| 07-30 15:09 | The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Maya Joint | BUY | 0.5999999756 | $4.91 |