Lipo
0x6d7ea25346fc5ee4510683c55744f3a8eda9a7b0
- Realised P&L
- $-16.2k
- Volume
- $660.3k
- Markets traded
- 456
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded456
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.239Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$543.28at 0.762Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10AM ET
- +$521.15at 0.647Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
- +$446.41at 0.571Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?
- +$442.66at 0.704Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 13:10 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.7484523668 | $90.00 |
| 08-05 13:08 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5139999997 | $150.00 |
| 08-05 12:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? | BUY | 0.7692307692 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 13:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.39 | $214.50 |
| 08-03 06:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $45.76 |
| 07-21 13:12 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.61 | $76.40 |
| 07-21 13:11 | Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.1693221431 | $30.00 |
| 07-21 13:05 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15? | BUY | 0.4599999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 07:45 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | SELL | 0.3767552769 | $208.48 |
| 07-09 19:58 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.6099999983 | $78.38 |
| 07-09 19:56 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $79.50 |
| 07-06 08:48 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7799999999 | $224.06 |
| 07-06 08:35 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $65.63 |
| 07-06 08:35 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.443 | $97.36 |
| 07-01 16:23 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.47 | $18.31 |