0x6c38707416edbd97be22b653dc406587aa1eb85a
- Realised P&L
- $-202.73
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $0.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carlos Mendoza win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.006 | $0.04 | −$2.42 |
| Fujian Sturgeons vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards · Fujian Sturgeons | 0.103 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.52 |
| Nanjing Monkey King vs. Beijing Ducks · Nanjing Monkey King | 0.239 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.08 |
| Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) · Kansas City Royals | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.03at 0.680Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$5.16at 0.425Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$3.83at 0.275Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
- +$3.14at 0.368US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
- +$2.85at 0.370Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-30 13:05 | Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | SELL | 0.56 | $1.27 |
| 03-30 13:05 | Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.51 | $2.17 |
| 03-30 13:05 | Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.71 |
| 03-30 13:05 | Will Cúcuta Deportivo FC win on 2026-04-19? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.44 |
| 03-30 13:05 | Will Cúcuta Deportivo FC win on 2026-04-19? | SELL | 0.38 | $2.14 |
| 03-30 13:04 | EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.56 | $4.48 |
| 03-30 13:04 | Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.98 |
| 03-30 13:04 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | SELL | 0.58 | $9.69 |
| 03-30 13:04 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.5514100461 | $10.76 |
| 03-30 13:04 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | SELL | 0.41 | $17.90 |
| 03-28 10:32 | Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.72 |
| 03-28 10:09 | Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.52 | $10.19 |
| 03-28 10:09 | Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.73 |
| 03-28 10:09 | Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 03-28 10:09 | Will Mikael Ishak score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.20 |