olifeu1d
0x6b599551dc9b793d69a30ad6bfd03b38cf9d05f9
- Realised P&L
- $-28.85
- Volume
- $20.4k
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $5.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jared Polis be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · No | 0.964 | 0.875 | $5.56 | −$0.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.84at 0.500Solana Up or Down - February 3, 5AM ET
- +$0.61at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 11AM ET
- +$0.57at 0.500Solana Up or Down - January 14, 4AM ET
- +$0.52at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10AM ET
- +$0.50at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 06:44 | Will Jared Polis be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | BUY | 0.964 | $6.13 |
| 08-01 12:40 | Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.955 | $7.26 |
| 08-01 04:40 | Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.957 | $7.27 |
| 07-20 04:27 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $6.81 |
| 07-19 22:27 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.81 |
| 07-08 21:20 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.926 | $6.34 |
| 07-08 15:17 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.927 | $6.35 |
| 06-26 13:38 | Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.97 | $32.36 |
| 06-26 07:36 | Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.973 | $32.47 |
| 06-12 20:30 | Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.951 | $33.79 |
| 06-12 13:28 | Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.953 | $33.86 |
| 06-05 03:25 | Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.938 | $23.86 |
| 06-04 19:22 | Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.954 | $24.27 |
| 05-28 15:21 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $32.63 |
| 05-28 11:18 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.972 | $32.63 |