PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

smoothie0

0x6ad5b3e7c8d14cc8ebaa075827224df309d8bdaa

Realised P&L
$-243.58
Volume
$35.0k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$18.41

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration68.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1000.135$13.50+$3.50
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? · Yes0.0380.032$4.14$0.86
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2060.159$0.77$0.23
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B · Sentinels0.2500.000$0.00$20.00
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C · T10.0010.000$0.00$10.00
Counter-Strike: EAC Rising vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffs · Alpha Dominion Nation0.1270.000$0.00$20.00
ITF Granby: Kylie Collins vs Rebecca Marino · Kylie Collins0.2900.000$0.00$20.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4160.000$0.00$50.00
ITF Sao Paulo: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Ana Candiotto · Ana Candiotto0.1380.000$0.00$10.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Down0.3200.000$0.00$5.00
ITF Darmstadt: Nastasja Schunk vs Mathilde Lollia · Mathilde Lollia0.1900.000$0.00$20.00
ITF Louisville: Mees Rottgering vs Lev Seidman · Lev Seidman0.0800.000$0.00$10.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.2630.000$0.00$258.80
ITF Sao Paulo: Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Carolina Xavier Laydner · Carolina Xavier Laydner0.0430.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 00:35Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.205999876$1.00
07-23 09:54Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.001$1.00
07-19 16:28Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2624999993$240.42
07-19 08:32Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Anna PetkovicBUY0.08$1.20
07-19 08:31Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Dalila Jakupovic vs Elina AvanesyanBUY0.1199999808$5.00
07-19 08:30Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?BUY0.1788086489$15.00
07-19 08:25ITF Astana: Ekaterina Tupitsyna vs Kamonwan YodpetchBUY0.001$10.00
07-19 08:22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.1$10.00
07-19 08:16Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 19?BUY0.0179529108$5.00
07-19 05:34Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0779999929$10.00
07-19 05:33Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0709999936$10.00
07-16 14:20Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2699999896$18.38
07-16 14:20Will England win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.25$50.00
07-16 14:10ITF Darmstadt: Nastasja Schunk vs Mathilde LolliaBUY0.1899999939$20.00
07-16 14:09ITF Sao Paulo: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Ana CandiottoBUY0.1380942881$10.00
Trader smoothie0 · PolyBot