wzf
0x6a8af4c9f6f8c83c6306790fd4e85af422887d5e
- Realised P&L
- $11.2k
- Volume
- $37.9k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $10.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar29.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes | 0.264 | 0.675 | $8.1k | +$4.9k |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.525 | $2.6k | +$1.9k |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? · Yes | 0.159 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$554.99 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.00 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.406 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$406.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.144Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$1.3kat 0.260US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$548.25at 0.808Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?
- +$525.00at 0.650Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$430.00at 0.570US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 13:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 07-24 13:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 07-24 13:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 07-24 13:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 05-07 12:59 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $121.75 |
| 05-07 01:56 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $170.00 |
| 04-07 03:45 | US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | BUY | 0.57 | $570.00 |
| 04-07 03:42 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? | BUY | 0.732820479 | $300.00 |
| 10-20 21:30 | Buccaneers vs. Lions | BUY | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 10-20 21:29 | Buccaneers vs. Lions | BUY | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 10-20 15:55 | Spread: Lions (-5.5) | BUY | 0.4799999981 | $50.00 |
| 10-20 15:54 | Spread: Lions (-5.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $24.00 |
| 10-19 16:56 | Panthers vs. Jets | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 10-12 23:38 | Panthers vs. Jets | BUY | 0.4899999991 | $100.00 |
| 07-02 01:22 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | BUY | 0.7917241504 | $663.00 |