montagne
0x6a2d43f36f475ead23adfe11ede91ebb7c57d491
- Realised P&L
- $-7.5k
- Volume
- $576.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,520
- Open portfolio
- $209.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,520
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$762.67at 0.088Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
- +$505.45at 0.581Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
- +$467.30at 0.500UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)
- +$457.85at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
- +$425.93at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 20:36 | Dana White's Contender Series: Bilal Hasan vs. Mridul Saikia (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.109694616 | $18.14 |
| 08-08 20:34 | UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.59 | $10.32 |
| 08-08 20:34 | UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda (Lightweight, Prelims) | SELL | 0.25 | $9.26 |
| 08-08 11:10 | UFC Fight Night: Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6299999958 | $44.80 |
| 08-08 11:08 | UFC Fight Night: Darren Elkins vs. Yadier del Valle (Featherweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.88 | $50.00 |
| 08-08 11:07 | UFC Fight Night: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.7 | $50.00 |
| 08-08 11:06 | UFC Fight Night: Billy Ray Goff vs. Ty Miller (Welterweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $50.00 |
| 08-08 11:01 | UFC Fight Night: Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2699999963 | $50.00 |
| 08-08 11:00 | UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5999999976 | $50.00 |
| 08-08 10:58 | UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.2699999963 | $50.00 |
| 08-08 10:42 | UFC Fight Night: Gigi Canuto vs. Carol Foro (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.32 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 16:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | SELL | 0.6526522001 | $54.14 |
| 08-02 16:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4821648193 | $40.00 |
| 08-02 16:26 | Canadian Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Juncheng Shang | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 16:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.0117823901 | $8.81 |