LMDARKOWL2
0x698644f10ded88c55882c2acc62ebb8550265585
- Realised P&L
- $-337.83
- Volume
- $33.9k
- Markets traded
- 690
- Open portfolio
- $31.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded690
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.57at 0.417Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 29?
- +$69.45at 0.557Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 15?
- +$60.85at 0.593Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 13?
- +$43.00at 0.520Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 17?
- +$42.49at 0.150Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.34 | $2.50 |
| 08-09 07:55 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.8 | $13.34 |
| 08-09 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.05 |
| 08-09 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.59 |
| 08-09 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.071024 | $1.78 |
| 08-09 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.2566061107 | $3.11 |
| 08-09 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.38 |
| 08-09 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.76 |
| 08-09 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.99 |
| 08-09 03:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.31 | $2.35 |
| 08-09 03:13 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.98 |
| 08-09 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on August 9? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.96 |
| 08-08 16:50 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.28 |
| 08-08 12:57 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.3 | $2.37 |
| 08-08 12:46 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.1341906757 | $2.56 |