0x696235d0AA35d4Ce81a625a1982204106A82733E-1783138314465
0x696235d0aa35d4ce81a625a1982204106a82733e
- Realised P&L
- $-37.35
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $61.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 8? · No | 0.760 | 0.985 | $14.63 | +$3.34 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.980 | $12.74 | +$4.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 8? · No | 0.900 | 0.992 | $12.12 | +$1.12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on August 8? · No | 0.960 | 0.945 | $11.82 | −$0.19 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.996 | $9.96 | +$0.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.66at 0.568Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 5?
- +$17.03at 0.631Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 6?
- +$14.37at 0.378Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?
- +$13.12at 0.590Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 10?
- +$12.29at 0.622Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9 | $11.00 |
| 08-08 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.7599999919 | $11.29 |
| 08-08 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on August 8? | BUY | 0.96 | $12.01 |
| 08-08 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 08-08 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.67 | $8.71 |
| 08-08 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.80 |
| 08-07 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.9199999966 | $10.87 |
| 08-07 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.95 | $13.61 |
| 08-07 14:28 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.96 | $13.98 |
| 08-07 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.9599999446 | $12.47 |
| 08-06 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.34 |
| 08-06 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8599999579 | $11.43 |
| 08-06 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.98 | $13.69 |
| 08-06 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.75 | $8.25 |
| 08-06 11:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.659 | $0.14 |