0x69109fa95b5e8f4ea604297762145f561b3f0bb2
- Realised P&L
- $-1.31
- Volume
- $23.14
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $6.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.379 | $1.65 | +$0.65 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.875 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No | 0.780 | 0.870 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.780 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.685 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.114 | $0.38 | −$0.62 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.780 | 0.275 | $0.35 | −$0.65 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · No | 0.350 | 0.002 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.500Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
- +$-0.02at 0.510New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
- +$-0.02at 0.510Another pandemic before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:30 | Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 00:30 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 16:27 | Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 08:24 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 21:09 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 10:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 01:51 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 16:40 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 03:17 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 19:00 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 10:58 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |