ManoloRoca
0x68f20fecb8742715e7afc9ed379ff25ee3da97cc
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $56.2k
- Markets traded
- 282
- Open portfolio
- $31.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded282
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.10at 0.107Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$91.00at 0.042Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30?
- +$82.00at 0.570Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$63.64at 0.440Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
- +$51.39at 0.530Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:16 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0067233994 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 18:16 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1299999627 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 18:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.179999958 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 18:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.7099999915 | $15.00 |
| 08-04 18:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.9977923668 | $41.57 |
| 08-03 21:15 | Counter-Strike: Lixxx Club vs WorldEdit Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group B | BUY | 0.1699999422 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 21:14 | Counter-Strike: Lixxx Club vs WorldEdit Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group B | BUY | 0.2299999456 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 20:54 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0038772637 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 20:54 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 20:54 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 20:54 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.6 | $25.00 |
| 08-03 16:51 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group D | SELL | 0.999 | $14.27 |
| 08-03 16:31 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.98 | $8.24 |
| 08-03 16:31 | Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group B | SELL | 0.999 | $21.79 |
| 08-03 14:56 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group D | SELL | 0.18 | $5.88 |