0x68affc98898084162e5ea2d5603b20008daf7a3c
- Realised P&L
- $-7.44
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $6.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.820 | 1.000 | $3.62 | +$0.65 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.206 | 0.192 | $1.84 | −$0.14 |
| Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.425 | $1.50 | −$0.48 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.63at 0.230Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
- +$5.09at 0.280Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
- +$3.68at 0.350Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
- +$2.29at 0.634Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
- +$2.23at 0.470Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 15:09 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2059999278 | $1.98 |
| 06-29 14:59 | Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.5599999208 | $1.98 |
| 06-29 14:20 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.204 | $1.95 |
| 06-25 10:51 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2069999256 | $1.98 |
| 06-18 15:21 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.5299998822 | $1.98 |
| 06-18 15:18 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | SELL | 0.52 | $1.94 |
| 06-18 15:11 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.5299998822 | $1.98 |
| 06-18 14:24 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.242 | $1.97 |
| 06-18 14:12 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2429999115 | $1.98 |
| 06-18 14:11 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.242 | $1.97 |
| 06-18 14:09 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2429999115 | $1.98 |
| 06-17 21:17 | Will England win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.82 | $2.97 |
| 06-17 21:11 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.60 |
| 06-12 15:16 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999539 | $1.98 |
| 06-12 15:15 | United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6199999562 | $1.98 |