calmepaez
0x68800e08e7ce1dd0d5055cac579d3f1ca7e52e0d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.56
- Volume
- $188.26
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $12.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.805 | $12.78 | +$2.78 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China? · Yes | 0.837 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.85at 0.405Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?
- +$1.02at 0.830Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
- +$-0.01at 0.978Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$-1.21at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 14:58 | Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | BUY | 0.629999988 | $10.00 |
| 05-22 14:55 | Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China? | BUY | 0.837330135 | $10.00 |
| 05-22 14:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22? | SELL | 0.88 | $10.85 |
| 05-22 14:50 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.976 | $4.52 |
| 05-21 18:53 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9779999568 | $4.53 |
| 05-21 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22? | BUY | 0.405418747 | $5.00 |
| 05-21 18:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 05-21 18:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.21 |