techeer
0x6849fea7f644152d06739dd6bcd759dfedf2e3b8
- Realised P&L
- $4.46
- Volume
- $460.66
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $1.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.295 | $1.92 | −$0.94 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.78 |
| Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.07 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during cabinet meeting? · No | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.48at 0.370Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
- +$3.78at 0.410Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?
- +$3.61at 0.450Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
- +$2.36at 0.350Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$1.53at 0.600Ducks vs. Senators
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 14:04 | Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.86 |
| 07-31 10:21 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.4899999115 | $1.44 |
| 07-04 07:16 | Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.07 |
| 06-28 03:29 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.509999969 | $1.48 |
| 06-04 13:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? | BUY | 0.3899999146 | $1.78 |
| 05-17 09:31 | Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? | BUY | 0.2359998818 | $1.31 |
| 05-15 13:34 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31? | BUY | 0.4099999174 | $2.63 |
| 05-07 15:30 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.2099999432 | $2.44 |
| 05-03 12:15 | Wild vs. Avalanche | BUY | 0.64 | $2.53 |
| 04-12 11:32 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.4539998289 | $1.30 |
| 03-21 14:41 | Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | BUY | 0.369999917 | $2.63 |
| 03-19 10:38 | Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6499999426 | $2.83 |
| 03-18 13:41 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 03-17 15:30 | Suns vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.5899998069 | $1.10 |
| 03-16 14:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | BUY | 0.4299999015 | $1.31 |