0x683DDE7B2B06a8722A1C7168484Ee725F43c53ef-1769197060066
0x683dde7b2b06a8722a1c7168484ee725f43c53ef
- Realised P&L
- $-225.35
- Volume
- $44.0k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $50.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$173.99at 0.270Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$11.81at 0.036Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$-0.48at 0.210Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
- +$-11.39at 0.103Israel closes its airspace by July 24?
- +$-28.50at 0.060US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 15:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $56.25 |
| 07-26 14:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $100.00 |
| 07-25 16:22 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $11.63 |
| 07-25 15:59 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.026 | $0.64 |
| 07-25 15:56 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.038 | $2.32 |
| 07-24 15:26 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1100192708 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 13:30 | Israel closes its airspace by July 24? | SELL | 0.08 | $38.61 |
| 07-22 18:39 | Israel closes its airspace by July 24? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 07-22 18:37 | Israel closes its airspace by July 24? | BUY | 0.149999994 | $20.00 |
| 07-21 12:06 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $9.52 |
| 07-21 12:04 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 12:03 | Israel closes its airspace by July 24? | BUY | 0.0668257726 | $20.00 |
| 07-21 11:33 | Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0133182962 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 11:31 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.0366191538 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 11:31 | Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |