PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x683DDE7B2B06a8722A1C7168484Ee725F43c53ef-1769197060066

0x683dde7b2b06a8722a1c7168484ee725f43c53ef

Realised P&L
$-225.35
Volume
$44.0k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$50.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration93.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.045$9.00$1.00
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0690.059$8.48$1.52
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0290.021$7.14$2.86
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0130.042$6.23+$4.23
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1700.105$6.18$3.82
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0660.021$3.42$7.58
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31? · Yes0.0570.017$2.98$7.02
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? · Yes0.0500.028$2.80$2.20
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · Yes0.0370.019$2.66$2.34
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.021$1.78$3.22
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No0.0690.000$0.00$141.82
Iran full airspace closure by July 24? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$5.00
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026? · No0.0260.000$0.00$2.60
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · No0.0740.000$0.00$9.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 15:51Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.09$56.25
07-26 14:10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.16$100.00
07-25 16:22Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?BUY0.04$11.63
07-25 15:59Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?BUY0.026$0.64
07-25 15:56Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?BUY0.038$2.32
07-24 15:26Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?BUY0.1100192708$100.00
07-23 13:30Israel closes its airspace by July 24?SELL0.08$38.61
07-22 18:39Israel closes its airspace by July 24?BUY0.15$15.00
07-22 18:37Israel closes its airspace by July 24?BUY0.149999994$20.00
07-21 12:06Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.2$9.52
07-21 12:04Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.2099999861$10.00
07-21 12:03Israel closes its airspace by July 24?BUY0.0668257726$20.00
07-21 11:33Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0133182962$2.00
07-21 11:31Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?BUY0.0366191538$5.00
07-21 11:31Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?BUY0.05$5.00