TheHoneybadger11
0x6760de5da522a52a563b2aa39f6aa907921f6409
- Realised P&L
- $-502.17
- Volume
- $26.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,058
- Open portfolio
- $24.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,058
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.01at 0.434Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 9?
- +$7.82at 0.390Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 22?
- +$7.64at 0.343Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on March 30?
- +$7.40at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on March 30?
- +$6.90at 0.420Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on February 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.8399999808 | $3.50 |
| 08-08 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.3399999048 | $1.50 |
| 08-08 02:52 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.28 |
| 08-07 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.2676687117 | $1.75 |
| 08-07 14:55 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.54 | $2.01 |
| 08-07 11:56 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.17 |
| 08-07 11:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.7799999866 | $3.50 |
| 08-07 11:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.2299998865 | $1.50 |
| 08-07 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.11 |
| 08-07 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 7? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.94 |
| 08-07 07:49 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.21 |
| 08-07 07:41 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.7199999589 | $3.50 |
| 08-07 07:41 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.50 |
| 08-07 05:50 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 08-07 03:55 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.41 | $1.53 |