0x661240EA89f779a5870291dedFc9973df1F3C9C2-1768169122958
0x661240ea89f779a5870291dedfc9973df1f3c9c2
- Realised P&L
- $-68.12
- Volume
- $584.71
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $5.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.935 | $5.33 | +$0.43 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.86 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.55at 0.959US strike on Mexico by January 31?
- +$0.43at 0.948Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- +$0.39at 0.920US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
- +$-5.91at 0.220Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
- +$-8.23at 0.580Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:35 | Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.8599999895 | $4.90 |
| 07-26 08:41 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 07-21 16:29 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.9199999918 | $4.48 |
| 07-20 11:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.09 |
| 07-19 17:52 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 17:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.3033267993 | $17.00 |
| 01-29 18:34 | US strike on Mexico by January 31? | SELL | 0.993 | $103.54 |
| 01-29 13:15 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $8.65 |
| 01-16 11:07 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.9479999442 | $8.23 |
| 01-15 12:27 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $8.23 |
| 01-14 17:51 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $16.47 |
| 01-14 16:58 | US strike on Mexico by January 31? | BUY | 0.9589999999 | $100.00 |
| 01-14 16:51 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999949 | $31.86 |
| 01-11 22:14 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999872 | $9.99 |