PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

gramschmidt

0x65385c9376b0ea54bcaa71706598ae56fc5b9392

Realised P&L
$-257.10
Volume
$138.6k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 13:24Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.978$22.00
07-31 13:15Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?SELL0.9272056367$88.83
07-29 09:51Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.77$154.00
07-29 09:04Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.073$13.50
07-28 23:31Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$5.94
07-28 17:08Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.18$23.40
07-28 17:05Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$5.84
07-28 00:03Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?SELL0.8813984733$115.46
07-26 17:54Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.07$14.00
07-26 17:34Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0692$13.84
07-26 14:20Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.068$11.90
07-26 14:18Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.071$1.06
07-26 13:09Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.073$4.38
07-26 10:46Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.067$1.75
07-26 10:45Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0646091122$3.30