0x64c21F471a31d3E9B3A65c7643128a91B520b27d-1785599668824
0x64c21f471a31d3e9b3a65c7643128a91b520b27d
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $5.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar23.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.681 | 1.000 | $5.3k | +$1.7k |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.735 | $89.67 | −$0.61 |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season · Karmine Corp | 0.890 | 1.000 | $50.05 | +$5.51 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.420 | $42.00 | +$4.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.575 | $29.34 | −$1.28 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? · No | 0.420 | 0.435 | $23.18 | +$0.80 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? · No | 0.520 | 0.530 | $21.61 | +$0.41 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · No | 0.260 | 0.255 | $13.14 | −$0.26 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · No | 0.031 | 0.029 | $1.51 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.55at 0.743Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?
- +$-10.98at 0.410Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:01 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $13.40 |
| 08-02 23:00 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $90.28 |
| 08-02 22:59 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.0309013651 | $1.61 |
| 08-02 20:56 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 08-02 20:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | BUY | 0.42 | $22.38 |
| 08-02 20:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.52 | $21.21 |
| 08-01 20:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $30.61 |
| 08-01 19:02 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $388.88 |
| 08-01 18:20 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 08-01 18:20 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6792747919 | $1.0k |
| 08-01 18:13 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $290.82 |
| 08-01 18:13 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $354.57 |
| 08-01 17:11 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $157.95 |
| 08-01 17:09 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $98.40 |
| 08-01 16:31 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $131.96 |