PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x64c21F471a31d3E9B3A65c7643128a91B520b27d-1785599668824

0x64c21f471a31d3e9b3a65c7643128a91b520b27d

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$7.8k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$5.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar23.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.6811.000$5.3k+$1.7k
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.7400.735$89.67$0.61
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season · Karmine Corp0.8901.000$50.05+$5.51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.420$42.00+$4.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6000.575$29.34$1.28
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? · No0.4200.435$23.18+$0.80
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? · No0.5200.530$21.61+$0.41
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · No0.2600.255$13.14$0.26
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · No0.0310.029$1.51$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:01Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.26$13.40
08-02 23:00US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.74$90.28
08-02 22:59Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.0309013651$1.61
08-02 20:56US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.38$38.00
08-02 20:55Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?BUY0.42$22.38
08-02 20:55Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.52$21.21
08-01 20:07Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6$30.61
08-01 19:02Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?SELL0.998$388.88
08-01 18:20Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.67$13.40
08-01 18:20Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6792747919$1.0k
08-01 18:13Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.64$290.82
08-01 18:13Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.64$354.57
08-01 17:11Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.41$157.95
08-01 17:09Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?SELL0.6$98.40
08-01 16:31Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.71$131.96