0xfF7550dA88329f2cc1573767D2AEe11DCBEBa28d-1769613643669
0x649af9649643d18e2a9e4cad510f0f94ed9535a6
- Realised P&L
- $-717.60
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $29.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on August 5? · No | 0.820 | 0.980 | $29.40 | +$4.80 |
| Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on July 20? · Up | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.50 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 4? · Down | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.88 |
| Micron (MU) Up or Down on August 3? · Down | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.50 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 3? · Down | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on August 3? · Down | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$239.83at 0.758Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$22.07at 0.720Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$12.03at 0.901Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 14?
- +$8.76at 0.899Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 8?
- +$6.82at 0.880Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:35 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.94 | $47.00 |
| 08-04 17:34 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.93 | $13.28 |
| 07-31 20:05 | Micron (MU) Up or Down on July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $59.38 |
| 07-31 20:05 | SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $23.35 |
| 07-31 20:04 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $195-$200 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-31 15:56 | SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.9144415918 | $21.37 |
| 07-31 15:50 | Micron (MU) Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.9785060565 | $58.16 |
| 07-29 20:04 | Meta (META) Up or Down on July 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $90.91 |
| 07-29 20:04 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $198.04 |
| 07-29 20:04 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $642.23 |
| 07-29 19:59 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 29? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.26 |
| 07-29 19:58 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 29? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 19:58 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 29? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 19:48 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.9955332815 | $640.00 |
| 07-29 19:45 | Meta (META) Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.9639344216 | $75.00 |