90119011
0x6469fc8998673104a6cf40fb52b21121b0b3b890
- Realised P&L
- $-28.7k
- Volume
- $1.49M
- Markets traded
- 1,566
- Open portfolio
- $231.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,566
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6? · No | 0.911 | 0.909 | $189.58 | −$0.43 |
| HB Køge vs. Rīga FC: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.882 | 1.000 | $39.64 | +$4.64 |
| Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.740 | 0.500 | $1.35 | −$0.65 |
| Birmingham Legion FC vs. New Mexico United: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.880 | 0.505 | $0.57 | −$0.43 |
| LDU Quito vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.812 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$144.00 |
| GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.808 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
| FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FC Botoşani: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.3kat 0.598Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?
- +$3.4kat 0.868Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?
- +$2.7kat 0.840Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 13?
- +$1.6kat 0.865Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 7?
- +$1.6kat 0.921Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 19:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.9115442279 | $190.00 |
| 08-05 18:10 | HB Køge vs. Rīga FC: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.9 | $20.00 |
| 08-05 18:04 | HB Køge vs. Rīga FC: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.8599999989 | $15.00 |
| 08-05 18:01 | SSC Napoli vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.53 | $6.02 |
| 08-05 17:29 | SSC Napoli vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 17:09 | Lazio Rome vs. AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.9050223767 | $20.00 |
| 08-05 17:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6? | SELL | 0.917 | $404.64 |
| 08-05 16:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.9179999997 | $129.81 |
| 08-05 13:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.9569999843 | $32.00 |
| 08-05 13:21 | CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.88 | $4.67 |
| 08-05 13:21 | CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.93 | $4.89 |
| 08-05 13:21 | CA Boca Juniors vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.94 | $4.99 |
| 08-05 13:20 | CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.93 | $4.89 |
| 08-05 13:20 | CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.965 | $4.97 |
| 08-05 13:19 | CA Penarol Montevideo vs. Montevideo Wanderers: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.91 | $5.05 |