richgood
0x642869a93e900f8e623db1787dcda773a4ae9112
- Realised P&L
- $3.74
- Volume
- $12.6k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $450.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.984 | 0.991 | $194.14 | +$1.27 |
| Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 8? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $105.95 | +$0.05 |
| Will XRP reach $1.70 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $101.30 | −$0.36 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.24 in August? · No | 0.965 | 0.630 | $48.98 | −$26.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.55at 0.990Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
- +$3.99at 0.980Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $92.50 Week of May 18 2026?
- +$3.79at 0.987Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
- +$2.07at 0.997Will XRP reach $2.10 May 11-17?
- +$2.00at 0.990Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of June 15 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 05:48 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $105.89 |
| 08-06 05:47 | Will XRP reach $1.70 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $101.66 |
| 08-06 05:27 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-02 06:50 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 3 above $7.00? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-02 06:45 | Will Ethena reach $0.24 in August? | BUY | 0.9647044145 | $75.00 |
| 08-01 16:16 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 08-01 16:16 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 08-01 16:15 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 07-30 08:04 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $220.56 |
| 07-26 09:27 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $192.86 |
| 07-26 09:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $218.12 |
| 07-22 02:46 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of July 20 above $2.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $152.85 |
| 07-22 02:45 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 Week of July 20 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $109.89 |
| 07-22 02:45 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.50 Week of July 20 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $160.84 |
| 07-13 06:33 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17? | BUY | 0.9984846523 | $155.00 |