law3
0x640c36ed1c59131c473da14f8e47688b69299681
- Realised P&L
- $5.66
- Volume
- $15.9k
- Markets traded
- 780
- Open portfolio
- $294.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded780
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.82at 0.850Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?
- +$8.82at 0.850Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?
- +$8.82at 0.850Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?
- +$8.21at 0.859Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $415 Week of May 4 2026?
- +$8.14at 0.860Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:33 | Will Marriott (MAR) Q2 worldwide RevPAR be above $142? | BUY | 0.98 | $12.40 |
| 08-02 15:04 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $12.78 |
| 08-01 16:29 | Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.929 | $12.00 |
| 08-01 15:01 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m? | BUY | 0.968 | $12.37 |
| 08-01 13:21 | Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.859 | $12.76 |
| 08-01 12:48 | Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.939 | $13.16 |
| 08-01 12:37 | Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.934 | $9.34 |
| 08-01 12:26 | Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.86 | $13.85 |
| 08-01 12:14 | Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 47m? | BUY | 0.912 | $14.29 |
| 08-01 12:03 | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $14.72 |
| 07-31 12:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | BUY | 0.875 | $7.00 |
| 07-30 17:54 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.00 on July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $11.38 |
| 07-30 16:09 | Will AbbVie Q2 Global Rinvoq net revenues be above $2.4B? | BUY | 0.98 | $11.73 |
| 07-30 15:57 | Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? | BUY | 0.97 | $12.09 |
| 07-30 14:35 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 136m and 144m? | BUY | 0.97 | $11.88 |