PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

law3

0x640c36ed1c59131c473da14f8e47688b69299681

Realised P&L
$5.66
Volume
$15.9k
Markets traded
780
Open portfolio
$294.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded780
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? · No0.9480.982$23.08+$0.79
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.9440.831$18.09$2.46
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · No0.9550.927$16.01$0.47
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 47m? · No0.9121.000$15.66+$1.37
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 30, 2026? · No0.9500.990$15.25+$0.62
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.9740.963$15.00$0.18
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? · No0.9500.958$14.84+$0.12
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.9790.979$14.72$0.01
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? · No0.8800.959$14.36+$1.18
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m? · No0.9681.000$12.77+$0.40
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 3, 2026? · No0.8900.880$12.64$0.14
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 136m and 144m? · No0.9701.000$12.24+$0.36
Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? · No0.9700.963$11.99$0.09
Will Marriott (MAR) Q2 worldwide RevPAR be above $142? · No0.9800.945$11.95$0.44
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? · No0.9620.956$11.95$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 16:33Will Marriott (MAR) Q2 worldwide RevPAR be above $142?BUY0.98$12.40
08-02 15:04Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 3, 2026?BUY0.89$12.78
08-01 16:29Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 Rocket Classic?BUY0.929$12.00
08-01 15:01Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m?BUY0.968$12.37
08-01 13:21Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.859$12.76
08-01 12:48Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 Rocket Classic?BUY0.939$13.16
08-01 12:37Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Rocket Classic?BUY0.934$9.34
08-01 12:26Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Rocket Classic?BUY0.86$13.85
08-01 12:14Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?BUY0.912$14.29
08-01 12:03Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?BUY0.95$14.72
07-31 12:07Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?BUY0.875$7.00
07-30 17:54Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.00 on July 31, 2026?BUY0.98$11.38
07-30 16:09Will AbbVie Q2 Global Rinvoq net revenues be above $2.4B?BUY0.98$11.73
07-30 15:57Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?BUY0.97$12.09
07-30 14:35Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 136m and 144m?BUY0.97$11.88
Trader law3 · PolyBot