warren-zong
0x63d1de34c99d70caa27357da19a1db45b61c7386
- Realised P&L
- $-175.11
- Volume
- $14.1k
- Markets traded
- 250
- Open portfolio
- $144.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded250
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.50at 0.168Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?
- +$48.88at 0.175Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26?
- +$30.30at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 26?
- +$22.99at 0.078Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
- +$21.46at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 11:51 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 26? | SELL | 0.0115958508 | $0.58 |
| 07-23 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 23? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 07-07 18:03 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.998 | $39.92 |
| 07-07 18:02 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 06-14 03:25 | Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY | 0.9577498749 | $38.29 |
| 06-14 03:22 | Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY | 0.96 | $96.00 |