0x636cd3e5750597c165796701e30339D856D8a2cF-1729340044075
0x636cd3e5750597c165796701e30339d856d8a2cf
- Realised P&L
- $36.0k
- Volume
- $186.2k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $73.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar19.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.567 | 0.655 | $73.7k | +$9.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.0kat 0.647Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 10:59 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5799999991 | $171.16 |
| 06-24 10:54 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5758280695 | $29.4k |
| 06-24 10:54 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5638066447 | $17.8k |
| 06-24 10:54 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5536167034 | $16.4k |
| 10-22 16:34 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.645 | $77.40 |
| 10-22 16:31 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.6467810456 | $41.4k |
| 10-22 16:27 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.645 | $4.6k |
| 10-20 16:44 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.601 | $15.90 |