PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x63480C1859476548F51d9118D00FD126369D4a0D-1782057335460

0x63480c1859476548f51d9118d00fd126369d4a0d

Realised P&L
$-97.73
Volume
$24.8k
Markets traded
64
Open portfolio
$4.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded64
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes0.0220.021$0.97$0.03
Will René Troccaz be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026? · Yes0.0600.055$0.92$0.08
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$0.75$0.25
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.041$0.67$0.33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3100.205$0.66$0.34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.1000.021$0.21$0.79
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.0160.001$0.13$3.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 09:59Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$1.00
07-26 09:58Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.005$1.00
07-26 09:58Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0070000001$1.00
07-19 19:52Will SoFi (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
07-19 19:51Will René Troccaz be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?BUY0.059999946$1.00
07-19 19:50Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?BUY0.0219999787$1.00
07-19 19:48Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
07-19 19:45Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 The Open Championship?BUY0.001$1.00
07-19 19:44US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.059999946$1.00
07-19 19:44Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5959998832$1.00
07-19 19:43Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.596999831$1.00
07-19 19:43Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETSELL0.29$0.76
07-19 19:41Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.3799999012$1.00
07-19 19:40Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETSELL0.99$5.82
07-19 19:35Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00