0x63480C1859476548F51d9118D00FD126369D4a0D-1782057335460
0x63480c1859476548f51d9118d00fd126369d4a0d
- Realised P&L
- $-97.73
- Volume
- $24.8k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $4.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.021 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will René Troccaz be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.055 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.041 | $0.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.205 | $0.66 | −$0.34 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.021 | $0.21 | −$0.79 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.001 | $0.13 | −$3.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.03at 0.700Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
- +$6.54at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
- +$5.73at 0.676Will England win on 2026-07-01?
- +$5.05at 0.022Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.60at 0.583Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 09:59 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 09:58 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 09:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0070000001 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:52 | Will SoFi (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:51 | Will René Troccaz be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:50 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 0.0219999787 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:48 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:45 | Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 The Open Championship? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:44 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:44 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5959998832 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:43 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.596999831 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | SELL | 0.29 | $0.76 |
| 07-19 19:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $5.82 |
| 07-19 19:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |