PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

Gamauf22

0x633a82352233a4d76b87795349ad1f85c129844d

Realised P&L
$-176.80
Volume
$60.4k
Markets traded
1,124
Open portfolio
$133.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,124
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? · Yes0.1480.993$42.18+$35.88
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? · No0.6300.355$12.95$10.06
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 4? · No0.7900.935$10.59+$1.64
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 4? · No0.6720.998$9.63+$3.15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5040.495$8.23$0.15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3700.485$5.61+$1.32
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0050.002$4.40$10.28
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? · Yes0.0110.019$3.83+$1.58
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? · Yes0.2600.530$3.51+$1.79
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0090.013$2.91+$0.71
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0050.002$2.51$6.41
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0050.003$2.17$2.16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? · No0.7800.495$2.02$1.17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4? · Yes0.1800.110$1.93$1.22
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? · Yes0.2800.465$1.90+$0.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 14:19Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?SELL0.66$0.38
08-04 13:52Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?SELL0.66$0.08
08-04 13:39Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?BUY0.6599998547$1.09
08-04 13:39Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 5?BUY0.1299998935$1.05
08-04 13:38Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 5?BUY0.109999913$1.05
08-04 13:34Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 5?BUY0.1049540477$1.04
08-04 13:33Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?SELL0.64$0.01
08-04 13:33Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?BUY0.1799998697$1.05
08-04 13:29Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4?SELL0.999$5.50
08-04 12:31Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 5?BUY0.75$1.09
08-04 12:28Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 4?SELL0.999$1.53
08-04 10:56Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?SELL0.6$0.03
08-04 10:35Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?SELL0.61$0.04
08-04 10:32Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 6?BUY0.2799998309$1.06
08-04 10:29Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?SELL0.61$0.10