PauloFranco98
0x607968c0428bc11bc0dc70e4e80aebc8794d81c6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $242.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,311
- Open portfolio
- $139.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,311
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$700.84at 0.315Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$552.71at 0.291Will André Ventura win between 22% and 24% of votes in the first round?
- +$498.67at 0.448Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$443.40at 0.530Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$284.72at 0.215Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 15:34 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5399999985 | $50.00 |
| 07-23 18:08 | Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3899999959 | $50.00 |
| 07-23 18:08 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-07-23? | BUY | 0.64 | $50.00 |
| 07-02 01:32 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.0619999963 | $14.69 |
| 07-02 01:24 | World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? | BUY | 0.9420932935 | $800.00 |
| 07-02 01:23 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.442 | $213.11 |
| 07-01 19:46 | Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.64 | $99.94 |
| 06-30 18:07 | Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4899999939 | $20.00 |
| 06-26 01:07 | Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 1 United States? | BUY | 0.0299999885 | $2.50 |
| 06-26 01:06 | Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | BUY | 0.12 | $7.50 |
| 06-24 20:57 | Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 15:36 | João Félix: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.4475524476 | $20.00 |
| 06-22 13:38 | Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 13:36 | Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4899999916 | $25.00 |
| 06-22 08:56 | Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |