fei11985
0x606d241fdb458312b33ffb7a4887a85ab92489e6
- Realised P&L
- $150.78
- Volume
- $21.3k
- Markets traded
- 364
- Open portfolio
- $0.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded364
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.01at 0.510Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 12?
- +$15.33at 0.809Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13?
- +$14.31at 0.849Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 24?
- +$14.03at 0.839Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 21?
- +$12.32at 0.062Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.20978 | $1.05 |
| 08-07 05:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.93 | $3.92 |
| 08-07 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 08-07 02:57 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 08-07 02:36 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.54 |
| 08-07 02:34 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.24 |
| 08-07 01:47 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 39°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.05 |
| 08-07 01:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.82 | $6.56 |
| 08-06 07:59 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 08-06 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 08-06 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.67 | $21.23 |
| 08-06 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.8 | $7.45 |
| 08-06 03:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.45544 | $9.11 |
| 08-06 02:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 08-06 01:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.79 |