Rdnkvq
0x5fe5c0d820def1510c28b3c2d6fbe7308623bf98
- Realised P&L
- $-52.37
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $162.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.52at 0.269Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$22.79at 0.190Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$19.66at 0.230US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?
- +$17.59at 0.330Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$13.87at 0.480Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 21:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 21:50 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0589999863 | $4.00 |
| 07-13 21:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | BUY | 0.0823121813 | $10.00 |
| 06-10 13:16 | Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? | BUY | 0.7299999942 | $15.00 |
| 06-04 13:17 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04? | BUY | 0.7713790756 | $11.99 |
| 05-18 23:42 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.5899999697 | $7.00 |
| 05-18 23:39 | Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? | BUY | 0.72 | $15.56 |
| 05-18 23:39 | Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? | BUY | 0.7199999995 | $60.00 |
| 05-14 00:07 | Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? | BUY | 0.8399998908 | $4.00 |
| 05-14 00:06 | Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.3099999401 | $3.00 |
| 05-10 15:04 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-10? | BUY | 0.6199999297 | $3.00 |
| 05-10 15:01 | Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 14:53 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? | BUY | 0.6 | $4.18 |
| 05-09 14:01 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09? | BUY | 0.7099999503 | $3.00 |
| 05-09 06:31 | Will Valencia Basket win the 2025-26 Euroleague? | BUY | 0.1596169194 | $5.00 |