0x5dcc366ad47de348d9f63562506f9b91da5807c6
- Realised P&L
- $7.01
- Volume
- $282.57
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $19.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 7? · Up | 0.608 | 0.780 | $19.50 | +$4.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.81at 0.411S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?
- +$2.13at 0.388SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?
- +$2.05at 0.590Club Blooming vs. Club Always Ready: Draw at halftime?
- +$1.88at 0.730Will CA Nacional Potosí win on 2026-08-05?
- +$1.70at 0.660CA Nacional Potosí vs. Club The Strongest: O/U 4.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 01:02 | Will Club Blooming win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 08-06 23:57 | Club Blooming vs. Club Always Ready: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 08-06 17:53 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 08-06 12:07 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 08-06 11:06 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.43 | $9.03 |
| 08-06 01:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.18 |
| 08-06 01:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8374874272 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 01:04 | CA Nacional Potosí vs. Club The Strongest: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 01:04 | Will CA Nacional Potosí win on 2026-08-05? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 01:03 | Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-08-05? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 01:02 | Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-08-05? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 01:01 | Will CA Nacional Potosí win on 2026-08-05? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 22:46 | CA Nacional Potosí vs. Club The Strongest: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 22:01 | Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |