PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8dszc153187wmy

0x5cc5b031c7b8e43dc9cc9b6c4e496fd02815b83a

Realised P&L
$148.8k
Volume
$4.58M
Markets traded
4,180
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded4,180
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.4800.545$1.7k+$207.15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0270.011$159.19$216.64
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4000.935$87.27+$49.93
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3570.000$0.00$1.4k
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$400.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.4640.000$0.00$1.3k
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$95.00
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$290.00
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 United States? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$160.00
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$260.00
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 10.5 Total Corners · Under0.5600.000$0.00$536.86
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00$62.63
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$119.90
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$220.00
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 3 United States? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00$254.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 02:26Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0271501159$375.83
07-24 15:34Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11AM ETSELL0.7900853789$740.31
07-24 15:02Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11AM ETBUY0.45$163.26
07-13 11:29Exact Score: Any Other Score?BUY0.08$400.00
07-13 11:28Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?BUY0.047$470.00
07-13 11:27Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?BUY0.029$290.00
07-13 11:27Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?BUY0.11$550.00
07-13 11:27Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?BUY0.026$260.00
06-26 11:59Will Cape Verde be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?BUY0.33$186.67
06-26 11:57Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.37$740.00
06-26 03:59Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.02$20.00
06-26 03:58Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.04$40.00
06-26 03:49Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.14$140.00
06-26 03:37Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 2 United States?BUY0.38$113.77
06-26 03:25Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 2 United States?BUY0.2777234886$555.44
Trader 0x8dszc153187wmy · PolyBot