0x8dszc153187wmy
0x5cc5b031c7b8e43dc9cc9b6c4e496fd02815b83a
- Realised P&L
- $148.8k
- Volume
- $4.58M
- Markets traded
- 4,180
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded4,180
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.7kat 0.048Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
- +$4.7kat 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
- +$4.4kat 0.234Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4AM ET
- +$4.1kat 0.233Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
- +$4.0kat 0.134Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 02:26 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0271501159 | $375.83 |
| 07-24 15:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11AM ET | SELL | 0.7900853789 | $740.31 |
| 07-24 15:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $163.26 |
| 07-13 11:29 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.08 | $400.00 |
| 07-13 11:28 | Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain? | BUY | 0.047 | $470.00 |
| 07-13 11:27 | Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.029 | $290.00 |
| 07-13 11:27 | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain? | BUY | 0.11 | $550.00 |
| 07-13 11:27 | Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain? | BUY | 0.026 | $260.00 |
| 06-26 11:59 | Will Cape Verde be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.33 | $186.67 |
| 06-26 11:57 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.37 | $740.00 |
| 06-26 03:59 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.02 | $20.00 |
| 06-26 03:58 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.04 | $40.00 |
| 06-26 03:49 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.14 | $140.00 |
| 06-26 03:37 | Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 2 United States? | BUY | 0.38 | $113.77 |
| 06-26 03:25 | Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 2 United States? | BUY | 0.2777234886 | $555.44 |