PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Cactus969

0x5c7d0f8133ed2ec8419525251579978c53ac182a

Realised P&L
$-6.5k
Volume
$134.5k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.5520.490$1.2k$154.40
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.7600.695$555.92$52.08
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.7200.805$402.50+$42.50
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.4500.230$230.00$220.00
Ethereum all time high by December 31? · Yes0.5020.000$0.00$6.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-13 11:17Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.4$594.64
05-13 11:16Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.72$360.00
05-13 11:14Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.39$7.02
03-23 09:59Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.0536439911$280.36
03-23 09:58Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.9763000949$524.89
03-23 09:58Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.980842702$512.13
01-18 04:39Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.9576021546$500.00
01-18 04:39Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.93$500.00
01-13 00:18Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.2870078669$1.5k
10-11 11:15Ethereum all time high by December 31?BUY0.4499999997$600.00
10-11 11:15Ethereum all time high by December 31?BUY0.4399999999$799.95
10-11 11:15Ethereum all time high by December 31?BUY0.4385016398$500.00
10-11 11:15Ethereum all time high by December 31?BUY0.4299999998$500.00
10-11 11:14Ethereum all time high by December 31?BUY0.4228133152$500.00
10-11 11:14Ethereum all time high by December 31?BUY0.4199999977$100.00