zhifu
0x5c291a39ac68e3a50bdf73752bd236f6bdf73132
- Realised P&L
- $-1.52
- Volume
- $33.1k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $46.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $18.84 | −$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $15.96 | −$0.02 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on August 5? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $11.98 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.7kat 0.500Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$2.17at 0.750Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 15?
- +$0.31at 0.974US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?
- +$0.18at 0.986Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 16?
- +$0.16at 0.960Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 14:28 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.85 |
| 08-05 14:27 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.99 |
| 08-05 14:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.98 |
| 07-07 03:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on July 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.81 |
| 07-07 03:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.99 |
| 07-07 03:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on July 8? | BUY | 0.996 | $15.94 |
| 06-05 15:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 6? | BUY | 0.9974862275 | $16.66 |
| 06-05 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.99 |
| 06-05 15:44 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.98 |
| 05-13 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.08 |
| 05-13 04:07 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $15.36 |
| 05-13 04:06 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $12.95 |
| 04-16 03:31 | Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on April 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.97 |
| 04-16 03:31 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on April 17? | BUY | 0.9988442857 | $20.97 |
| 04-08 11:37 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.99 |