00p3t3r
0x5b814b5fbbc39870696b2d7b8a3ea4c0ccc596ac
- Realised P&L
- $-1.49
- Volume
- $673.48
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $1.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.25at 0.540US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$3.67at 0.090Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
- +$2.70at 0.270Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 15?
- +$2.00at 0.800Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
- +$1.93at 0.570Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 16:40 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 05-22 13:57 | Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 05-22 13:49 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 05-22 13:43 | Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.08 |
| 03-11 09:05 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.2809910062 | $1.22 |
| 03-07 16:36 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | SELL | 0.969 | $1.36 |
| 03-07 16:34 | Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? | SELL | 0.69 | $3.21 |
| 03-07 16:32 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | SELL | 0.42 | $4.67 |
| 03-02 20:11 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 03-02 19:26 | Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.7039998536 | $1.00 |
| 03-02 12:44 | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.1979998432 | $1.00 |
| 03-02 12:19 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 03-02 12:13 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 03-02 12:05 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 15:18 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |