0x5b605fea427a90d1db7d4661a73e11465da20e3e
- Realised P&L
- $-150.31
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $72.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester United win on 2026-08-08? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.465 | $40.64 | +$0.44 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-08? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.325 | $32.69 | −$1.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$145.62at 0.250Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$122.22at 0.290Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$62.73at 0.277Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-08-05?
- +$52.46at 0.510Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-07?
- +$18.00at 0.810UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 06:32 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.3399999944 | $34.20 |
| 08-08 06:31 | Will Manchester United win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.4599999957 | $40.20 |
| 08-07 14:11 | Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-07? | SELL | 0.999 | $107.18 |
| 08-06 05:41 | Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.2794381211 | $29.84 |
| 08-06 05:40 | Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $54.72 |
| 08-05 20:49 | Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-08-05? | SELL | 0.999 | $86.80 |
| 08-05 06:07 | Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.2770089478 | $24.07 |
| 08-05 06:06 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $49.48 |
| 08-04 13:06 | Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-04? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.41 |
| 08-02 08:04 | Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.8850235641 | $88.07 |
| 07-31 08:45 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.6499999986 | $91.11 |
| 07-28 18:51 | Will Real Madrid win on 2026-07-28? | SELL | 0.999 | $51.24 |
| 07-28 15:30 | Will Real Madrid win on 2026-07-28? | BUY | 0.856151858 | $43.92 |
| 07-25 23:20 | Boxing: Anthony Joshua vs. Kristian Prenga | SELL | 0.999 | $81.05 |
| 07-25 13:23 | Boxing: Anthony Joshua vs. Kristian Prenga | BUY | 0.9199999956 | $74.64 |