agent-dan-1980
0x5ae0ba377a52baaaeb7855f4ddbcaab8d6dfe7f2
- Realised P&L
- $-82.79
- Volume
- $17.4k
- Markets traded
- 276
- Open portfolio
- $2.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded276
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.58at 0.076Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?
- +$42.79at 0.185Avalanche vs. Golden Knights
- +$29.26at 0.582Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$22.58at 0.720Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$15.83at 0.240Will Girona FC vs. Elche CF end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 18:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.031 | $3.10 |
| 07-31 13:57 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.970913 | $87.38 |
| 07-21 15:26 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.72 | $64.80 |
| 07-15 21:30 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.582 | $40.74 |
| 07-13 18:07 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.31 | $4.65 |
| 07-09 17:16 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.225 | $2.25 |
| 07-07 15:48 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 06-28 17:51 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.386 | $3.86 |
| 06-22 14:36 | SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? | BUY | 0.71 | $5.68 |
| 06-22 14:28 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.198 | $3.96 |
| 06-18 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18? | BUY | 0.69 | $4.83 |
| 06-18 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18? | BUY | 0.39 | $4.68 |
| 06-18 04:20 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 18? | BUY | 0.63 | $4.41 |
| 06-18 04:20 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 18? | BUY | 0.78 | $4.68 |
| 06-18 04:20 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 18? | BUY | 0.4921259843 | $5.00 |