0x5a850d83f6e486d8963b76fb90faf3c028f79202
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $34.6k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $122.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.440 | 0.450 | $122.73 | +$2.73 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 10? · Down | 0.558 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.60 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27? · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$384.19at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
- +$269.64at 0.567Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11AM ET
- +$269.38at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down on April 7?
- +$238.29at 0.620Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11AM ET
- +$154.81at 0.656Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.4399999991 | $120.00 |
| 07-10 16:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $175.82 |
| 07-06 12:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | SELL | 0.1139961864 | $26.90 |
| 07-05 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 07-03 12:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | SELL | 0.24 | $6.00 |
| 07-02 17:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3? | BUY | 0.44 | $11.00 |
| 07-01 16:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.79 |
| 06-29 02:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 29? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 06-28 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 29? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 06-21 16:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $16.34 |
| 06-21 14:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 21? | BUY | 0.5499999847 | $9.00 |
| 06-19 16:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $93.91 |
| 05-31 14:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31? | SELL | 0.154560073 | $32.20 |
| 05-30 17:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31? | BUY | 0.4799999983 | $100.00 |
| 05-28 04:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28? | SELL | 0.0244605122 | $1.60 |