filaretou
0x5a7730fd98289099e5e7518b930667bd8b6cf859
- Realised P&L
- $4.2k
- Volume
- $674.7k
- Markets traded
- 356
- Open portfolio
- $729.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded356
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.3kat 0.008Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.040Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?
- +$970.00at 0.030Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?
- +$916.78at 0.050Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
- +$892.22at 0.363Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:05 | Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $50.96 |
| 08-01 18:23 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $10.28 |
| 08-01 18:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $160.00 |
| 08-01 13:17 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.016 | $25.76 |
| 07-30 22:17 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0136604 | $6.83 |
| 07-30 07:53 | Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026? | BUY | 0.047 | $7.14 |
| 07-30 07:52 | Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026? | BUY | 0.047 | $14.10 |
| 07-30 07:52 | Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026? | BUY | 0.046 | $0.37 |
| 07-29 15:11 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.036 | $9.18 |
| 07-29 15:08 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.253 | $126.50 |
| 07-27 17:19 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 07-27 15:41 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.50 |
| 07-27 15:41 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0151200024 | $7.56 |
| 07-27 15:40 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08891938 | $44.46 |
| 07-25 21:10 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |