PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0x5a1e9801F748DD28380A36bBA1B93D5462E0A2a8-1768512567629

0x5a1e9801f748dd28380a36bba1b93d5462e0a2a8

Realised P&L
$-17.66
Volume
$392.09
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$15.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 22:47Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?BUY0.48$2.40
07-12 22:46Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?BUY0.27$1.35
07-12 22:44Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.15$1.05
07-04 05:21Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.14$2.10
06-13 15:05Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.12$1.80
06-13 15:03Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.877$4.38
05-25 21:03Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?SELL0.36$1.80
04-24 20:52Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.62$4.96
04-17 22:10Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?BUY0.36$1.80
04-17 14:30Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?BUY0.66$3.30
04-01 08:51US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.37$2.22
03-17 20:00Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision?BUY0.91$4.55
02-28 13:50Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.76$3.80
02-24 18:55Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?BUY0.28$1.40
02-19 12:18Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 8-14, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.05$0.26