0x5a1e9801F748DD28380A36bBA1B93D5462E0A2a8-1768512567629
0x5a1e9801f748dd28380a36bba1b93d5462e0a2a8
- Realised P&L
- $-17.66
- Volume
- $392.09
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $15.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.04at 0.060Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?
- +$3.78at 0.370US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$1.70at 0.660Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?
- +$1.23at 0.800Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$1.20at 0.760Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 22:47 | Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 07-12 22:46 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 07-12 22:44 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.05 |
| 07-04 05:21 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.10 |
| 06-13 15:05 | Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.80 |
| 06-13 15:03 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.877 | $4.38 |
| 05-25 21:03 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 04-24 20:52 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.62 | $4.96 |
| 04-17 22:10 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 04-17 14:30 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 04-01 08:51 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.22 |
| 03-17 20:00 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 02-28 13:50 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 02-24 18:55 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 02-19 12:18 | Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 8-14, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.26 |