dsa54g31
0x599fe725c10705fadf5dce6afb258c95f5873317
- Realised P&L
- $-486.28
- Volume
- $113.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,253
- Open portfolio
- $80.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,253
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on August 7? · No | 0.750 | 0.910 | $18.20 | +$3.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 7? · No | 0.750 | 0.878 | $17.57 | +$2.57 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 7? · No | 0.750 | 0.865 | $17.30 | +$2.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on August 7? · No | 0.750 | 0.705 | $14.10 | −$0.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6? · No | 0.750 | 0.700 | $14.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.50at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 22?
- +$12.00at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 25?
- +$12.00at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 24?
- +$8.00at 0.840Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 3?
- +$8.00at 0.840Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 10:33 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.45 | $3.59 |
| 08-05 10:28 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.4758333333 | $5.71 |
| 08-04 16:05 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 08-04 00:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 08-01 19:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.53 | $10.60 |
| 08-01 02:52 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.53 | $5.31 |
| 08-01 02:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.45 | $0.20 |
| 08-01 01:42 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.52 | $0.27 |
| 08-01 01:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.54 | $0.29 |
| 08-01 01:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.53 | $0.28 |
| 08-01 01:27 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.5344444444 | $9.62 |
| 07-31 16:05 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 07-30 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 07-30 01:34 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.53675 | $10.73 |
| 07-26 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or higher on July 27? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |