eothica
0x598886507d6a41509f811d3f50e4486156c99b8f
- Realised P&L
- $26.22
- Volume
- $9.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,086
- Open portfolio
- $2.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,086
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Leonardo Bonucci attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.086 | $1.73 | −$4.27 |
| Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.021 | $0.43 | −$4.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.09at 0.790Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
- +$5.23at 0.773Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
- +$5.00at 0.500Bitcoin above 77,800 on May 2, 10AM ET?
- +$4.70at 0.530Ethereum above 2,325 on April 15, 11PM ET?
- +$2.30at 0.770Bitcoin above 65,800 on June 3, 1PM ET?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 19:05 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 07-15 14:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | SELL | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 07-15 14:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9299999944 | $4.95 |
| 07-15 13:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.9539999919 | $4.95 |
| 07-14 14:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $4.95 |
| 07-14 14:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $0.41 |
| 07-14 14:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $4.95 |
| 07-13 14:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9404999677 | $4.95 |
| 07-10 20:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $4.95 |
| 07-10 15:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $4.95 |
| 07-10 14:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $4.95 |
| 07-10 13:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $4.95 |
| 07-10 02:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $4.95 |
| 07-10 02:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9099999908 | $4.95 |
| 07-10 01:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $4.95 |