0x591AFC553F801e360e9f9e5F5998aA4beD4440A8-1780299019703
0x591afc553f801e360e9f9e5f5998aa4bed4440a8
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $32.7k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-07? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.295 | $651.03 | +$11.04 |
| Will Aston Villa vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.225 | $613.64 | +$13.64 |
| Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open? · Yes | 0.298 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$597.17 |
| Spurs vs. Knicks · Spurs | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova · Amanda Anisimova | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$180.00 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev · Rafael Jodar | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$67.16 |
| Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka · Naomi Osaka | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spread: Hong Kong SAR (-1.5) · Mongolia | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$278.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$823.33at 0.430Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$272.25at 0.610Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini
- +$270.40at 0.221Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$206.41at 0.775Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?
- +$205.59at 0.805Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 04:08 | Will Aston Villa vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2199999997 | $600.00 |
| 08-07 04:08 | Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.2899999998 | $640.00 |
| 06-12 16:02 | HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova | BUY | 0.5599999994 | $180.00 |
| 06-12 13:57 | Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron | BUY | 0.755 | $22.65 |
| 06-11 20:09 | Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $185.78 |
| 06-11 19:24 | Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.537700483 | $100.00 |
| 06-11 01:09 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.68 | $1.5k |
| 06-10 15:51 | Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur | BUY | 0.7838337664 | $266.59 |
| 06-10 15:42 | Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur | BUY | 0.81 | $893.43 |
| 06-09 02:20 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.4299999997 | $621.11 |
| 06-06 14:24 | Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.221 | $353.60 |
| 06-06 13:54 | Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | BUY | 0.2976190476 | $6.25 |
| 06-06 13:51 | Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | BUY | 0.28 | $56.00 |
| 06-06 13:51 | Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.23 |
| 06-06 02:49 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.2599999974 | $67.16 |