JakeFischer9378
0x5863e935fd1a291284a4de010ae2010a5f898dd9
- Realised P&L
- $-144.28
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $9.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-08-05? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.160 | $7.27 | −$2.73 |
| Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-05? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.015 | $0.72 | −$9.28 |
| Will AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio win on 2026-08-05? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.001 | $0.17 | −$9.83 |
| Will SC Schwaz win on 2026-08-05? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$9.95 |
| Will Stade Briochin win on 2026-08-05? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$9.97 |
| Will Al Shahaniya win on 2026-08-05? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.66at 0.224Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
- +$13.46at 0.650Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
- +$-25.00at 0.154Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
- +$-25.00at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
- +$-100.00at 0.220Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 15:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.1535750348 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 15:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.6499999987 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 15:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 15:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | SELL | 0.31 | $8.98 |
| 08-05 15:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $29.68 |
| 08-05 15:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2243709753 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 15:43 | Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 15:43 | Will SC Schwaz win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 15:43 | Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 15:43 | Will Stade Briochin win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 15:43 | Will AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.0299999971 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 15:43 | Will Al Shahaniya win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.81 |
| 08-05 15:42 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2200720355 | $100.00 |