PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

7d9b

0x584411f20ab81188c171005445b942bbd5655bd4

Realised P&L
$-802.64
Volume
$101.3k
Markets traded
282
Open portfolio
$409.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded282
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 10:21Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 5?SELL0.45$2.25
08-03 10:15US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.39$3.90
08-03 08:46Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 4?SELL0.54$8.64
08-02 11:59Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?SELL0.12$7.27
08-02 10:23Israel closes its airspace by August 15?SELL0.89$89.00
08-02 04:27Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.19875$12.72
08-02 04:22US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?SELL0.57$114.00
08-02 04:05US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.5$100.00
08-02 03:19Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?SELL0.329$9.87
08-02 03:18Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?SELL0.69$72.87
08-02 03:18Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?SELL0.64$128.00
08-02 03:17Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%?SELL0.13$2.60
08-02 02:02Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%?SELL0.033$0.66
08-02 02:02Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare" be the top US Netflix show this week?SELL0.02$0.52
08-02 02:02Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary?SELL0.011$0.33