7d9b
0x584411f20ab81188c171005445b942bbd5655bd4
- Realised P&L
- $-802.64
- Volume
- $101.3k
- Markets traded
- 282
- Open portfolio
- $409.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded282
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.00at 0.500Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 23?
- +$15.00at 0.150LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- +$9.95at 0.954Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
- +$8.03at 0.270Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- +$7.64at 0.560Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 10:21 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 08-03 10:15 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 08-03 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.54 | $8.64 |
| 08-02 11:59 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $7.27 |
| 08-02 10:23 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 08-02 04:27 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | SELL | 0.19875 | $12.72 |
| 08-02 04:22 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.57 | $114.00 |
| 08-02 04:05 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 03:19 | Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? | SELL | 0.329 | $9.87 |
| 08-02 03:18 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? | SELL | 0.69 | $72.87 |
| 08-02 03:18 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.64 | $128.00 |
| 08-02 03:17 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 08-02 02:02 | Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.66 |
| 08-02 02:02 | Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare" be the top US Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.52 |
| 08-02 02:02 | Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.33 |