omarhalalb
0x57e88d5743bc0dc7db84bdca80b523489da60bdb
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $144.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? · No | 0.974 | 0.970 | $49.44 | −$0.23 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? · Yes | 0.956 | 0.938 | $47.80 | −$0.94 |
| Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.970 | 0.933 | $47.61 | −$1.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$586.98at 0.460Phillies vs. Brewers
- +$565.81at 0.410Diamondbacks vs. Brewers
- +$433.02at 0.580Diamondbacks vs. Brewers
- +$398.00at 0.600White Sox vs. Braves
- +$82.25at 0.530Twins vs. Guardians
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 14:02 | Phillies vs. Brewers | BUY | 0.46 | $500.02 |
| 08-26 07:42 | Diamondbacks vs. Brewers | BUY | 0.58 | $597.98 |
| 08-19 12:01 | White Sox vs. Braves | BUY | 0.6 | $597.00 |
| 08-12 07:12 | Braves vs. Mets | BUY | 0.44 | $502.04 |